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My draft presentation on Business Model Design for Web Services
May 15
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Evolution trumps design. Many interesting unsolved problems in computer science, nanotech, and synthetic biology require construction of complex systems. Evolutionary algorithms are a powerful alternative to traditional design, blossoming first in neural networks and now in microbial engineering. Near-term trend: year or two, components of microbial engineering products will involve some form of evolution. Design for evolution. Has been used in neural networks. In microbial work, cripple a microbe, so it can do the one thing it does better and better. To make industrial chemicals. Applied to analog circuit design. In the future, artificial intelligence.

Tech Trader Daily - Barron’s Online  : At The Churchill Club: The Top 10 Tech Trends

I think he’s talking about creating algorithms and processes that evolve of their own volition…I’ll have to x-ref this with Ray Kurzweil… 

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Vinod Knosla: The mobile phone will be a mainstream personal computer. With built in projector. Authentication. Credit cards on SIM cards. ID cards, passports, drivers licenses. Any information you need. Khosla says he keeps pictures of his passport electronically on his phone. He says people will be less likely to carry their laptops.

Come near a computer, and physical hard drive will be yours, including half-sent email message you left at home. Lose the phone, and all the information is on the network. Imagine what you want to do, and it should be available anytime.

Projectors in cell phones in next two years. More than one camera per cell phone; high priority for Texas Instruments. Critical ingredient is high speed networks, which we will have in next 2-3 years.

Jurvetson says the trends are already playing out, other than the projector piece, particularly in Europe, where cell phones are 8% of credit card payments.

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May 13
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Karen Seifert, a volunteer from New York, was outside of the largest polling location in Lackawanna County, Pa., on primary day when she was pressed by a Clinton volunteer to explain her backing of Obama. “I trust him,” Seifert replied.

According to Seifert, the woman pointed to Obama’s face on Seifert’s T-shirt and said: “He’s a half-breed and he’s a Muslim. How can you trust that?”

Racist Incidents Give Some Obama Campaigners Pause - washingtonpost.com

 A quick reality check [especially for my friends that are native Californians]…

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May 12
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brands thrived on how difficult it was for people to get information. Logos, spokespersons and slogans combined to give consumers a way to make choices. But now, the Internet has turned that on its head.

“The entire economic rationale for brands is gone,” Haque said in an interview. “Interaction is too easy now for brands to have power.”

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May 11
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what Twitter does for us all of the time: it accelerates serendipity.

::HorsePigCow:: marketing uncommon — a blog by Tara Hunt

Best explanation of Twitter yet.  Much more exciting than the inevitable mundanity of “what are you doing”

;-) 

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May 06
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[Flash 9 is required to listen to audio.]

John Hagel tells you everything you need to know about the future.  Well, not really.  But he asks a lot of thought-provoking questions…

If you find yourself wondering “what are the institutional architectures that are going to be required in a world where there is no equilibrium [i.e. stable technology standards]?”, strap yourself in.

(email me for the full quality MP3) 

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